LAST WEEK THE UNITED States Department of Justice announced the arrest of Victor Manuel Rocha, 73, a former senior American diplomat, whose career included stints as ambassador and advisor to the National Security Council and the United States Southern Command.
Cuban
intelligence allegedly recruited Rocha when he was a student in the 1970s and
inspired him to spend his entire professional life in search of opportunities
to supply intelligence to Cuba —and possibly Russia and China. United States
Attorney General Merrick Garland
said Rocha’s case was “one of the highest-reaching
and longest-lasting infiltrations” of the US government by a foreign agent.
This may be an understatement.
A STORIED
CAREER IN GOVERNMENT
Rocha was
born in Colombia in 1950, but grew up in New York City after his mother
emigrated to the United States. In 1965, the studious Rocha earned a full-ride
scholarship to a prestigious boarding school in Connecticut. This enabled him
to earn an undergraduate degree from Yale University in 1973, before completing
master’s degrees in public administration and foreign affairs from Harvard
University and Georgetown University.
After
receiving his security clearance from the Department of State, Rocha relied on
his advanced social skills and native command of the Spanish language to
quickly rise through the ranks of the diplomatic corps. Within a decade he had
served prestigious assignments in Argentina, Honduras, Italy, Mexico, and the
Dominican Republic, where he held the post of deputy chief of mission. In the
mid-1990s, Rocha served as deputy principal officer in the United States
Interests Section in Cuba —effectively the second-in-command in Washington’s de
facto embassy in Havana.
Rocha’s
diplomatic career culminated with the post of ambassador to Bolivia, from which
he abruptly resigned in 2002. He did so reportedly in order to pursue
employment in the private sector and raise funds for his children’s college
education. Prior to the end of his State Department career, however, Rocha had
managed to hold posts as a Latin America adviser to the National Security
Council, which is the highest executive decision-making body of the United
States government. He had also served as an adviser to the United States
Southern Command (USSOUTHCOM), which oversees all activities of the Department
of Defense in Central and South America, including the Caribbean.
FORMING
REVOLUTIONARY LEFTIST IDEALS
By 1978,
when he became a United States citizen, the young Rocha had spent time in
Chile. While there, he witnessed first-hand the turbulence of Chilean politics
in the lead-up to the military coup of 1973, which cut short the presidency of
leftist icon Salvador Allende. Washington’s role in the coup, and in the
ensuing junta of General Augusto Pinochet, appears to have steered Rocha’s
politics decisively to the left. It was in fact in Chile where, according to
the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), Rocha was recruited by the Dirección
de Inteligencia (DI, also referred to by its former acronym, DGI).
The Cubans
allegedly trained Rocha for several years and steered him toward pursuing a
career in the United States government. It would not be surprising if Rocha
pursued his graduate degrees at Harvard and Georgetown under the guidance of
his DI handlers, who would have also coached him in the importance of
networking in pursuit of government employment. Rocha allegedly began spying
for Cuba as soon as he entered the Department of State, in 1981. It is not
known whether he continued to work for the DI after 2002. If he did, it would
make him one of the longest-serving spies in American history.
THE FBI
UNDERCOVER STING AGAINST ROCHA
In late
2022, the FBI received information that Rocha was a spy for the DI. The Bureau
appears to have moved fast to neutralize the retired diplomat. In November of
that year, an FBI special agent working in an undercover capacity contacted
Rocha via the WhatsApp instant messaging platform, pretending to be a
representative of the DI. It appears that the DI had not reached out to Rocha
for quite some time, so the message seemed to him to be an attempt by the
Cubans to re-establish contact.
The criminal complaint [PDF] against Rocha discusses in some
detail that Rocha met with the undercover FBI special agent at least twice.
During those meetings, Rocha spoke openly and with a sense of pride about his
espionage for the Cubans over several decades, and offered to become active
again, if needed. Rocha is now facing charges of acting as an unregistered
agent of a foreign country, lying about it on his passport application forms,
as well as engaging in wire fraud.
HOW SERIOUS
IS THIS CASE?
The Cubans
don’t play around when it comes to human intelligence (HUMINT) collection.
American counterintelligence professionals invariably consider the DI as an
elite intelligence agency that outranks far larger and more powerful spy
agencies in both professionalism and effectiveness. The Cubans are especially
skilled in identifying idealistic Westerners, whom they recruit at a young age,
and then guide them to pursue government careers. Notably, the Cubans tend to
work with ideologically motivated spies, which means that monetary compensation
rarely comes in to the picture. This limits the ability of Western
counterintelligence agencies to flag suspicious behavior —such as large
purchases— among government employees.
Additionally,
unlike the Russians or the Chinese, the Cubans understand American society and
culture well, having intimately interacted with it for over a century. Indeed,
the Russians and the Chinese routinely depend on the DI for HUMINT collection.
Over time, they have been rewarded with intelligence supplied by highly placed
spies such as Kendall Myers, a senior analyst in the Department of State’s
Bureau of Intelligence and Research, who spied for Cuba for nearly 30 years
until his arrest by the FBI in 2009. Some believe that Myers’ espionage
exploits were dwarfed by those of Ana Belen Montes. Montes topped the list of
the Defense Intelligence Agency’s Latin America analysts while also spying for
Havana for nearly 20 years, until her arrest in 2001. It appears that none of
those spies —Myers, Montes, or for that matter Rocha— received a single penny
in return for their services to the Cuban government.
The
criminal complaint against Rocha makes clear that he employed HUMINT
tradecraft, including standard counter-surveillance practices such as
surveillance detection routes (SDR), in preparation for meeting the man he
thought was a DI spy handler. Moreover, Rocha allegedly told the undercover FBI
special agent that he had meticulously curated a fake persona of a conservative
American for several decades through various means —including coming out in
support of Donald Trump in the run-up to the 2016 presidential election. Rocha
was not an amateur. He was well-trained and managed to operate undetected for
over 40 years while leading a double life. This is incredibly difficult to pull
through, both logistically and psychologically.
WHAT
HAPPENS NOW?
Undoubtedly,
the news that Rocha was likely a Cuban spy has sparked extensive damage
assessments at the Department of State, the Central Intelligence Agency, the
Defense Intelligence Agency, and elsewhere. The fact that Rocha worked in the
National Security Council means he had access to a broad array of information
that spans across agencies, and even departments. Moreover, his access to
SOUTHCOM intelligence has probably compromised operations —and possibly even
methods and sources— that may have caused serious damage to American interests.
Allied intelligence agencies in the Americas and beyond, including Colombian
and Canadian, are probably also checking their records for potential damage
that Rocha may have inflicted on their operations.
Even more
worrying is the potential for intelligence-sharing between the Cubans and their
allies, primarily the Russians, the Venezuelans, and the Chinese. Did the
Cubans handle Rocha themselves and share his intelligence with their allies on
a per-case basis? Or did they at any point —especially prior to 1991— hand
Rocha over to Russian intelligence in the spirit of communist collaboration?
This question is not an easy one to answer. Based on his professional résumé,
it appears that Rocha has not had access to classified information since 2002.
This potentially means that the bulk of his espionage activities took place in
the 1980s and 1990s. It will be difficult for the FBI to forensically analyze
Rocha’s espionage activities from 20 years ago in sufficient detail.
What is
perhaps more likely is that the Department of Justice will offer Rocha a plea
deal in exchange for a full account of his espionage. The information he
provides to the government could potentially allow the United States
Intelligence Community to conduct a detailed damage assessment of his espionage
activities and their impact on American interests. It may also provide a deeper
understanding of Cuban HUMINT methodologies and practices, which may prevent
another case like Rocha’s from occurring again in the future.
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