UKRAINE’S MILITARY INTELLIGENCE AGENCY said on Sunday that a plot was underway by senior Russian government officials, with the goal of ousting President Vladimir Putin and entering into a negotiated settlement with the West.
However, Western intelligence sources
told
the United States government-owned Voice of America that claims of a
possible coup plot in Moscow were likely part of a Ukrainian information
operation aimed at “sow[ing] doubts about loyalty within the top
echelons of Putin’s Kremlin”
The initial claim of a coup was made by
the Chief Directorate of Intelligence of the Ukrainian Ministry of
Defense, which is Kyiv’s military intelligence agency. In a statement,
the spy agency alleged that the coup against President Putin was being
planned by “a group of influential figures […] among the Russian
business and political elite”. The leaders of the group were “siloviki”—members
of the Soviet intelligence and military nomenclature, who rose to power
in the 1990s alongside Putin, according to the agency.
These siloviki were oligarchs,
business magnates and politicians from the era of Boris Yeltsin, Putin’s
predecessor in the Russian presidency. They were allegedly planning to
depose Putin “as soon as possible” in a “palace coup” and replace him
with his most senior intelligence advisor, Alexander Bortnikov
(pictured). Bortnikov is a Soviet-era intelligence operative who today
heads the Federal Security Service (FSB), Russia’s domestic security and
counterintelligence agency.
There are reports
that Putin blames the FSB’s substandard intelligence for the botched
military campaign in Ukraine, and that he and Bortnikov have fallen out
as a result. Meanwhile, several Yeltsin-era oligarchs have begun to
voice criticism of the war in Ukraine—among them the banking magnate
Mikhail Fridman, the metals mogul Oleg Deripaska, and Oleg Tinkov, who
owns a network of banking and investment firms in Russia.
However, in a report published on
Tuesday, the Voice of America, which is funded by the United States
Department of State, said Western intelligence officials remained
unconvinced of Ukraine’s claims about a possible coup in Moscow. The
news service cited
anonymous “Western intelligence sources” as saying they could not see
men in Putin’s inner circle having the will or ability to turn against
the Russian strongman. Moreover, Kremlin grandees like Bortnikov are not
qualitatively different from Putin in how they think about Russian
domestic and international strategy, the sources said.
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