BRITISH, AMERICAN AND OTHER Western intelligence agencies are quietly preparing Ukrainian military and security experts to withstand a possible Russian attack, according to a number of media reports.
The New York Times reported on
Monday that cyberwarfare units from the United States and the United
Kingdom have been dispatched to Ukraine. Their mission is believed to be
helping the former Soviet republic in confronting possible large-scale
cyberattacks from Moscow.
According to The Times,
Ukraine has been undergoing a widespread series of cyberattacks from
Russia almost without stop during the past several years. The attacks
have consisted of multiple sabotage and espionage campaigns, which have
targeted nearly every Ukrainian government agency, as well as the
country’s energy infrastructure. These attacks have historically been
low in number and intensity. This has changed in recent months, however,
according to American officials.
Some observers are concerned that a
series of large-scale cyberattacks may precede a military invasion by
the nearly 200,000 Russian troops that are currently present along the
Russian-Ukrainian border. Were they to materialize, these cyberattacks
will probably attempt to sabotage core functions of Ukraine’s economy
and government, including the banking and air-traffic systems. Moscow’s
broader goal, according to The Times, would be to subvert the
ability of President Volodymyr Zelensky’s government to govern Ukraine.
This, in turn, could lead to its fall and replacement by a pro-Russian
administration. If a pro-Russian government is threatened by a
pro-Western revolt —something that Ukraine has seen in the past— it
could potentially request military assistance from Moscow, which would
provide a political pretext for an invasion.
Meanwhile, British newspaper The Daily Mirror said
on Monday that American intelligence agencies have “secretly agreed to
arm and train Ukrainian troops on how to fight a guerrilla war against
Russian forces if they invade”. The paper said that meetings to discuss
these plans have been taking place between officials from the Central
Intelligence Agency and the Defense Intelligence Agency. The goal of
such an effort, the report claims, would be to mirror the American help
given to Afghan fighters by the CIA during the Soviet-Afghan war of the
1980s.
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