THE TAIWANESE MILITARY AND society should be prepared to prevent and deter a possible military invasion by China, according to White House national security adviser Robert O’Brien. O’Brien, the fourth person to hold that position at the White House during the presidency of Donald Trump, said last week he did not believe that Beijing was planning an all-out military invasion of Taiwan.
He added, however, that the island
should be prepared to deter so-called “gray zone operations” by China,
as well a direct “amphibious landing” by Chinese forces.
The Reuters news agency reported
last week that many in Taiwan fear a possible Chinese invasion, should
the upcoming presidential election in the United States lead to
political confusion and disorder in Washington. Tensions between China
and Taiwan have been growing in recent months. China sees Taiwan as a
renegade province, a view that contrasts sharply with the majority view
in Taiwan. The island sees itself as independent from China, though
fewer than 20 countries around the world have officially recognized its
independent status. Earlier this month, the Chinese government said it
had launched an extensive counterintelligence operation
aiming to uncover Taiwanese spies. Meanwhile, Chinese government-run
media aired footage last week of a military exercise that appeared to
simulate an amphibious invasion of Taiwan.
Speaking at a virtual event hosted by the Aspen Strategy Group on Friday, O’Brien opined
that Taiwan should “start looking at some asymmetric and anti-access
area denial strategies […] and really fortify itself”. He added that the
goal of such a fortification would be to “deter the Chinese from any
sort of amphibious invasion or even a gray zone operation” —that is,
aggressive economic and political actions that fall short of a direct
military invasion. O’Brien’s comments came less than a week after Hsiao
Bi-khim, Taiwan’s economic and cultural representative in Washington
(effectively Taiwan’s ambassador to the US) urged
the Trump administration to provide the island with “some degree of
clarity” on whether the US would come to its aid, should China invade.
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