Saudi Arabia and the United States suffered “a total and embarrassing [intelligence] failure” in the lead-up to the drone strikes that shut down half of the kingdom’s oil production last month, according to Israeli sources.
In the early hours of September 14, missiles
struck
two refineries belonging to the world’s largest crude oil processing
facility in eastern Saudi Arabia. The facilities, which belong to
Aramco, Saudi Arabia’s government-owned oil conglomerate, were forced to
cease operation so that repairs could be carried out. This drastically
reduced Saudi Arabia’s oil production by close to 50 percent, which
amounted to a 5 percent drop in global oil production. By Monday
morning, global oil prices had seen their most significant one-day surge
since the 1991 Gulf War.
Soon after the
attacks, Saudi and American officials accused Iran of having launched
the missile strikes. But according to Breaking Defense, Riyadh and
Washington suffered “a total and embarrassing [intelligence] failure” in
the hours prior to and following the attacks. The US-based website cited
a number of anonymous Israeli sources, who said that officials in Tel
Aviv were surprised by the lack of intelligence in the US and Saudi
Arabia about the missile strikes. The Israelis told Breaking Defense
that Saudi intelligence agencies “had no idea Iran was planning to
attack the kingdom’s oil facilities […]. It seems that the Americans
were also in the dark [or that possibly] Washington […] did not share
the data in time with the Saudis”, they added.
The above
information was allegedly discussed at an emergency meeting of the
Israeli defense cabinet on October 6, which included a briefing on the
attacks by the Mossad, Israel’s main external intelligence agency.
According to the Israeli sources, Mossad officials were quickly able
state with high confidence that the missiles had been launched from
military bases in southeast Iran or by Iranian militias in Iraq. It was
only following an examination of missile fragments that Saudi and
American intelligence officers were able to point the finger at Iran,
according to Aahron Ze’evi Farkash, former director of the Israeli
Military Intelligence Directorate.
Breaking Defense also said
that Israeli intelligence analysts were impressed by the precision of
the weapons systems used in the Iranian strikes. Additionally, the
specific targets of the attacks were selected with the help of “very
accurate intelligence”, said the Israeli sources.
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