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18/03/2008 | México - Jalisco Takes Center Stage

Stratfor Staff

In response to Mexico’s widespread drug-related violence, federal forces oversaw several small security operations in various parts of the country. Police in Chiapas state began a security clampdown in several cities to search for suspects in a narcotics-tied murder in that southern state.

 

In Veracruz state to the north, military forces disarmed the local police in three small towns, presumably to investigate the department’s officers for links to organized crime.

But it was Jalisco state that really stood out for drug violence this week. Being a prime transshipment point for western drug routes, the state is accustomed to occasional killings and kidnappings. Two incidents this week, however, served as a reminder that no place in Mexico is immune to spectacular acts of drug-related violence. In the first incident, a group of gunmen entered a law firm in Guadalajara where they shot and killed seven attorneys inside. At least two lawyers at the firm once represented the son of Sinaloa cartel leader Joaquin ” El Chapo” Guzman Loera. That the victims were all bound and executed by a shot to the head at close range suggests the incident was the work of a professional hit team, and not a local gang contracted to do the job.

In the second incident, seven alleged Sinaloa cartel operatives were detained in the state, one of whom initially was believed to be the prime suspect in a Mexico City bombing investigation. Authorities eventually determined he was not the bombing suspect, but that he was a cartel member. His role was important enough to the cartel that several cartel members abducted two Jalisco police officers and threatened to kill them if the seven Sinaloa suspects were not freed. Five suspects were released soon after their arrest, while the other two were indicted on weapons violations and drug possession but released after posting bail. The two kidnapped officers were later found unharmed.

It remains unclear whether the government made a deal with the cartel to ensure the officers’ safety, but the decision to allow two known drug traffickers to post bail is certainly unusual. Since security operations began around the country more than a year ago, Mexico City has had a high success rate at convicting suspects and putting them behind bars or extraditing them to face charges in the United States. In any case, Jalisco remains a place to monitor, though currently there is no indication the violence will grow worse any time soon.

An Arrest Fuels Fears in Baja

To Jalisco’s northwest, Baja California has seen a consistent security decline over the past few months. The city of Tijuana so far has averaged more than a death per day this year — and two per day this month — caused by organized crime. Authorities fear the situation will only grow worse following the arrest this week of Gustavo Rivera Martinez, the de facto leader of the Tijuana cartel. Rivera Martinez at one time was close to Javier Arellano Felix and was a lieutenant to Enedina Arellano Felix — who is believed responsible for the cartel’s financial operations. Rivera Martinez apparently took over control of the cartel within the last two years. He is wanted by the FBI and the Drug Enforcement Administration. The Mexican government already has announced he will be extradited to the United States to face an indictment on marijuana-trafficking charges.

Rivera’s arrest has the potential to upset the delicate balance of power within the Tijuana cartel, and may open the door for the recently returned Francisco Rafael Arellano Felix to reassume leadership of the organization sooner rather than later. In addition, authorities fear the cartel will retaliate for Rivera’s arrest with violence aimed at police or government officials, a concern that seems all too likely to be validated.

March 10

  • Three Durango state police officers died and another was wounded when they came under fire in an ambush while they traveled along a rural road.
  • Police in Cancun, Quintana Roo state, seized 22 firearms, 14 grenades, and more than 1,500 rounds of ammunition from a luxury apartment in the city’s hotel zone. No arrests were made.
  • A dead man was found along a highway in Guerrero state with 17 gunshot wounds in various parts of his body.

March 11

  • Authorities in Tijuana, Baja California state, reported discovering the bodies of two men wrapped in a blanket bearing signs of torture.
  • A local architect’s driver died after being shot twice in the head at close range by a group of men who approached him as he entered his vehicle near Monterrey, Nuevo Leon state.
  • A group of armed men attempted to kidnap the bodyguard of a government prosecutor in Veracruz, Veracruz state.
  • The bodies of three men and one woman were found in Navolato, Sinaloa state, bound at the hands and blindfolded with gunshot wounds and cut marks on their bodies.

March 12

  • A man in Culiacan, Sinaloa state, died after being shot several times by a group of gunmen in a vehicle.

March 13

  • The body of an unidentified man was found buried in cement in Atenco, Mexico state. An autopsy revealed that he had been dead between 15 to 20 days, and that he had been buried alive.
  • Two federal agents and one civilian were wounded in two separate firefights in Culiacan, Sinaloa state, involving suspected drug cartel members and military and police forces.
  • The alleged leader of a kidnapping gang died in a firefight with police in Tlacotalpan, Veracruz state.
  • Authorities in Veracruz state reported two drug-related killings in separate incidents.
    A Mexican border agent in Tijuana, Baja California state, was killed and another wounded when they were shot by men armed with assault rifles while they investigated a report of an illegal border crossing attempt.

March 14

  • A group of hooded men armed with assault rifles abducted an employee from a hospital in Tijuana, Baja California state.
  • One person died and two were wounded during a firefight between two alleged street gangs in Tijuana, Baja California state.

Stratfor (Estados Unidos)

 


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