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06/07/2006 | USA-The GOP Challenge: Retaining Religious Voters

Stratfor Staff

The Rev. Jim Wallis, editor of Sojourners magazine, hosted a conference in Washington in late June for liberal religious activists who are looking for a stronger political voice in American politics.

The "Pentecost 2006" conference focused on issues relating to poverty, and implicitly sought to identify ways to reignite a "religious left" -- though participants avoided the phrase -- and to recast what they view as the popular misconception that religious people, and especially Christians, are monolithically conservative and Republican.

Through conferences and a number of other tactics, liberal religious groups are attempting to reach out to evangelical conservatives -- looking for common ground on political issues and attempting to generate a more united religious bloc on certain fronts. Regardless, the primary goal is to break the powerful hold of the Republican Party on religious activists -- and doing this requires drawing clear lines between the rank-and-file evangelicals and the leadership of the "religious right."

The political offensive by liberal churches is well-timed, and its potential for success raises a number of problems for the Republican Party. Most important is the possibility that conservative evangelicals will break from their traditional leadership. If that occurs, the strong links the party has built with evangelical leaders no longer will equate to evangelicals voting with the GOP as a unitary bloc. This, of course, could pose a tremendous threat to the Republican Party's chances for success in 2008, since the GOP relies on the high voter turnout that is traditional with conservative Christians.

If the religious right splits into different groups, the Republican Party will have a decision to make: whether to focus on issues of concern to the religious right as priorities change at the grassroots level, or whether to carve out political space that captures as many religious voters as possible while holding on to existing constituencies and reaching out to new ones. The second option -- which would involve overtures to voter groups such as Latinos and African-Americans, for example -- was much easier before the immigration debate opened the party to criticism that it is "anti-immigrant" or "anti-Latino."

Historically, most political parties facing these situations have had room to maneuver toward the middle as elections approached, but the war in Iraq complicates such a move for the GOP. This has, of course, been a highly divisive issue, and the Republicans recognize that they cannot ignore or marginalize it in election campaigns. Instead, their only option is to acknowledge and put the best face possible on the conflict, embracing it as a key electoral issue for the next two years. There is little upside in this. The Iraq issue is highly unlikely to bring voters to the party in 2006 and 2008 who did not side with the GOP in 2004 -- and that makes keeping Christian conservatives in the Republican camp all the more imperative for the party.

Significantly, however, the war is but one issue on which rank-and-file religious voters are not necessarily aligned with the political leadership on the right. On poverty, environmental concerns, and social issues such as fighting famine and AIDS, there appear to be widening gaps between the voters on one side and conservative and political leaders on the other. However important the loyalty of the religious voting base might be for the GOP, its ability to command that loyalty is no longer a foregone conclusion.

Challenging the Religious Right

The timing of the "religious left" campaign is auspicious. Conservative evangelicals are beginning to show the strains evident in most political movements after several years in power: The idealists are frustrated that winning power has not brought the political change they thought likely, while realists are frustrated by the administration's political missteps -- which have cost it the ability to bring about what they consider to be important policy changes. For different reasons, both the idealists and the realists agree that the Bush administration has not done all it could to help promote Christian causes.

Into this mix comes the additional concern among many on the religious right that their leadership has become ossified in Washington's power circles, and increasingly seems to be out of touch with the grassroots. In essence, many rank-and-file evangelical Christians claim that the leaders have stuck with the priorities that won them power and influence, rather than changing with the times or in tandem with their supporters' priorities. As a result, the gap between the leadership and voters of the religious right is growing.

The leaders of the liberal religious organizations and denominations recognize this. As a result, the next six months are likely to bring a flurry of books, seminars and conferences -- such as Pentecost 2006 -- that are intended to capitalize on the differences within the evangelical right, to recruit religious liberals to political activism and to neutralize the Republican Party's claim to religious voters to the greatest extent possible.

The religious right appears to be defending against this trend. In recent weeks, conservative Christian organizations have begun to focus on controversies within liberal church groups and within mainline Protestant denominations. The current battles in the Episcopal Church in the United States over homosexual priests and bishops have become a story within the religious right about the corrupting influence of liberal values on religious organizations. On July 5, for instance, the home page of the American Family Association carried three stories containing criticism of mainline Protestant denominations -- the United Methodist Church, Presbyterian Church (U.S.A.) and Episcopal Church -- for taking liberal positions on issues such as homosexuality and abortion.

The Republican Party, on the other hand, appears to be in a far more difficult position. The power wielded by religious conservatives worries many moderates in the GOP and is seen as an impediment to Republicans' winning the consistent support of independents. At the same time, reaching out to shore up any faltering support from the religious right would be dangerous; any active courting of this base can be used by opponents to argue that the party is "captive" to the religious right. As a result, while the Democratic Party's prospective candidates for 2008 can rail, without controversy, against what they call the religious right's influence over the Republican Party leadership, Republican leaders cannot reach out to those same religious conservatives. Further complicating things, Republican leaders would have great difficulty criticizing the influence of liberal churches among the Democrats without simultaneously raising the sensitive issue of the power of churches in the GOP.

Changing Priorities

The care with which the GOP must treat members of the religious right is largely a problem of circumstance -- a dilemma that Democrats have faced with many constituent groups for decades. At the same time, a major misalignment appears to be building between the Republican Party and conservative evangelical leaders on one hand and grassroots religious conservatives on the other.

The result is that the ties between the mainstream religious right and the Republican Party are strained. Conservative evangelicals sense that the party is doing the least possible to achieve the faction's goals while still commanding the support of its voters. This was a tenable strategy when the religious right's leaders and membership were in agreement on priorities, strategies and tactics, but it becomes a liability as the approaches of the leadership and grassroots diverge.

The decision by the organizers of Pentecost 2006 to focus on poverty obviously stemmed from a number of strategic considerations. Not only is poverty an emerging issue for relief and human rights organizations, but issues related to it appeal equally to the religious left and the religious right. A focus on poverty allows Christians to come together across party lines -- lines that are becoming ever less important to religious conservatives -- and to cement new alliances and affiliations outside the confines of political party labels.

Visit an evangelical congregation, and concern about poverty is omnipresent. Moreover, it is the primary focus of the ministry of the Rev. Franklin Graham and other less politically focused evangelical leaders. However, a quick scan of the Web sites of the most politically influential conservative evangelical organizations will not produce a hit on the word "poverty" on the home page, nor does the word appear on the home page of the GOP.

Similarly, famine relief and AIDS -- issues that both conservative and liberal evangelical Christian camps share as priority concerns -- are not to be found in the communications of the GOP or leading conservative Christian groups. Even the White House Web site places HIV/AIDS far from the central flow of traffic, though the administration's record on the issue is considered by almost all observers to be quite good.

Environmental protection is emerging as another issue where the GOP's and religious right's most high profile leadership appear to agree, while evangelicals are drifting to the left. The notion of stewardship and "care for creation" is resonating more and more among evangelicals, and this is being seen in increased support among Christian conservatives for more strict environmental regulation, organic agriculture and action on global climate change. So far, the White House, Congress and many leading conservative evangelical leaders appear not to notice this growing sentiment.

The divergence on issues such as famine, AIDS, poverty and the environment could be used by opponents of any stripe as evidence that the Republican Party indeed is not speaking for religious conservatives. Moreover, these divergences likely will add to the sense among active members of the religious right that the Republican Party has not delivered, and will not, on their priorities. Increasingly, they are likely to view many of their leaders as having been snared by the siren song of power in Washington and to view the administration as having exploited the religious right's grassroots network and support without a real dedication to the issues they view as important. In fact, it ultimately may be only the emotional issue of abortion that acts as a litmus test for loyalties and prevents religious voters from joining with the Democrats in politically meaningful numbers.

The shift in the relationship of the religious right to its national leadership and to the Republican Party will not occur overnight, but change appears inevitable. The vast majority of the politically active evangelicals will not become affiliated with the Democratic Party, and they are unlikely even to support many Democratic candidates. But they are increasingly unlikely to be Republicans either, particularly as the GOP donors and leaders press for the nomination of Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., as a presidential candidate in 2008.

The changes will emerge slowly -- not before the November elections, but certainly before 2008. How the Republican Party reacts to this shift will frame much of American politics for the decade that follows.

Stratfor (Estados Unidos)

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15/03/2007\|	China: The Responsible Stakeholder's Overseas Operations
15/03/2007\|	Ecuador - Will the Civil Crisis Remain Civil?
15/03/2007\|	U.S.-Mexican Relations Changing
08/03/2007\|	Iranian Secrets on the Loose?
08/03/2007\|	U.S., Latin America: The President Tours a Divided Region
08/03/2007\|	Mexico: A Rise in Killings in Sonora State
08/03/2007\|	Russia: The Speculation About Thallium Poisoning
01/03/2007\|	Methyl Hydrates as a Potential in the Global Energy Industry
28/02/2007\|	China's Engineered Drop
27/02/2007\|	Mexico's Newest Criminal Refuge
27/02/2007\|	Mexico's Newest Criminal Refuge
27/02/2007\|	The Relationship between the Taliban and Pakistan's Domestic Stability
27/02/2007\|	Iraqi Oil Law Legislation Approved
27/02/2007\|	Chen's Subtle Policy Shifts
27/02/2007\|	Venezuela: A Foray into Punitive Diplomacy
27/02/2007\|	Syria's Russian Connection
08/02/2007\|	Abe's Quest for Domestic Support
08/02/2007\|	Abe's Quest for Domestic Support
08/02/2007\|	Ukraine: Keeping Its Pipelines out of Russia's Reach
08/02/2007\|	Ukraine: Keeping Its Pipelines out of Russia's Reach
07/02/2007\|	China: Reining in the Regions With Environmentalism
07/02/2007\|	Mexico: Violence Crossing the Line in Acapulco
07/02/2007\|	Mexico: Violence Crossing the Line in Acapulco
07/02/2007\|	China: Reining in the Regions With Environmentalism
05/02/2007\|	Why a Natural Gas Cartel Would Not Work
05/02/2007\|	Nigeria: Election Season and Delta Violence
05/02/2007\|	Nigeria: Election Season and Delta Violence
05/02/2007\|	Why a Natural Gas Cartel Would Not Work
05/02/2007\|	U.S. Climate Policy: Defining the Second Commitment Period
05/02/2007\|	U.S. Climate Policy: Defining the Second Commitment Period
05/02/2007\|	Thailand: The Likely Dissolution of the TRT
05/02/2007\|	Thailand: The Likely Dissolution of the TRT
05/02/2007\|	India: Pakistan's Exposed Intelligence-Gathering Operation
05/02/2007\|	India: Pakistan's Exposed Intelligence-Gathering Operation
05/02/2007\|	U.S.: Arrest in 'The Bishop' Case
05/02/2007\|	U.S.: Arrest in 'The Bishop' Case
02/02/2007\|	China's Concerns in 2007: Fears of a Perfect Storm
02/02/2007\|	China's Concerns in 2007: Fears of a Perfect Storm
01/02/2007\|	Canada, Chile: Unions, Strikes and Commodity Prices
01/02/2007\|	Canada, Chile: Unions, Strikes and Commodity Prices
01/02/2007\|	Britain's Timely Terrorism Arrests
01/02/2007\|	Britain's Timely Terrorism Arrests
31/01/2007\|	Hu's Visit to Africa: More Deals than Diplomacy
31/01/2007\|	Hu's Visit to Africa: More Deals than Diplomacy
25/01/2007\|	Ecuador: A Midair Collision and Correa's Balancing Act
25/01/2007\|	Ecuador: A Midair Collision and Correa's Balancing Act
23/01/2007\|	2007 Annual Forecast: Time to Look Inward -- Part I
23/01/2007\|	2007 Annual Forecast: Time to Look Inward -- Part I
23/01/2007\|	2007 Annual Forecast: Time to Look Inward -- Part II
23/01/2007\|	2007 Annual Forecast: Time to Look Inward -- Part II
10/01/2007\|	China: Exploiting the Uighur 'Terrorist Camp' Raid
10/01/2007\|	China: Exploiting the Uighur 'Terrorist Camp' Raid
03/01/2007\|	China: Aftershocks from the Crash
30/12/2006\|	Global Market Brief
30/12/2006\|	Global Market Brief
30/12/2006\|	Serving Up Dolly: Implications of an FDA Ruling
30/12/2006\|	Serving Up Dolly: Implications of an FDA Ruling
30/12/2006\|	Germany's EU Presidential Ambitions
30/12/2006\|	Germany's EU Presidential Ambitions
23/12/2006\|	Turkmenistan: The Battle to Follow Turkmenbashi's Death
23/12/2006\|	Turkmenistan: The Battle to Follow Turkmenbashi's Death
23/12/2006\|	Iran's Sudden Opportunity in Turkmenistan
23/12/2006\|	Iran's Sudden Opportunity in Turkmenistan
23/12/2006\|	Russia: Moving in on Turkmenistan
23/12/2006\|	Russia: Moving in on Turkmenistan
23/12/2006\|	Russia: The Fallout from a Cash Deal on Sakhalin-2
23/12/2006\|	Russia: The Fallout from a Cash Deal on Sakhalin-2
23/12/2006\|	Mexico: The Vital Role of 'Gatekeepers' in the Smuggling Business
23/12/2006\|	Mexico: The Vital Role of 'Gatekeepers' in the Smuggling Business
20/12/2006\|	Nigeria: Using Bombs to Keep the Pressure On
20/12/2006\|	Nigeria: Using Bombs to Keep the Pressure On
20/12/2006\|	Russia: An Energy Cutoff for Belarus, But Not for Europe
20/12/2006\|	Russia: An Energy Cutoff for Belarus, But Not for Europe
16/12/2006\|	A Saudi Power Struggle?
16/12/2006\|	A Saudi Power Struggle?
16/12/2006\|	Belarus: Can Foreign Investment Pay the Gas Bill?
16/12/2006\|	Belarus: Can Foreign Investment Pay the Gas Bill?
16/12/2006\|	A SAFE Approach to the Energy Debate
16/12/2006\|	A SAFE Approach to the Energy Debate
15/12/2006\|	Venezuela: Documenting the Threat
15/12/2006\|	Venezuela: Documenting the Threat
15/12/2006\|	Russia's Plans for Iran
15/12/2006\|	Russia's Plans for Iran
15/12/2006\|	Mexico's Anti-Cartel Operation: A Small Stone in a Big River
15/12/2006\|	Mexico's Anti-Cartel Operation: A Small Stone in a Big River
12/12/2006\|	U.S.: The Army's Stunted Transformation
12/12/2006\|	U.S.: The Army's Stunted Transformation
12/12/2006\|	India's Nuclear Negotiations Enter a New Phase
12/12/2006\|	India's Nuclear Negotiations Enter a New Phase
12/12/2006\|	Calderon's Presidential Challenges
12/12/2006\|	Calderon's Presidential Challenges
05/12/2006\|	Iraq's Evolving Relationship with Iran
05/12/2006\|	Iraq's Evolving Relationship with Iran
05/12/2006\|	The Venezuelan Vote
05/12/2006\|	The Venezuelan Vote
05/12/2006\|	EU, Kazakhstan: The Geopolitics of Energy Cooperation
05/12/2006\|	EU, Kazakhstan: The Geopolitics of Energy Cooperation
02/12/2006\|	India Records Torrid Growth in Q2
02/12/2006\|	India Records Torrid Growth in Q2
29/11/2006\|	India, Pakistan: Another Aspect to the Military Race
29/11/2006\|	India, Pakistan: Another Aspect to the Military Race
29/11/2006\|	Somalia: The Deyr Delays an Imminent Clash
29/11/2006\|	Somalia: The Deyr Delays an Imminent Clash
22/11/2006\|	Russia, the West and the Espionage Game
22/11/2006\|	Russia, the West and the Espionage Game
22/11/2006\|	Russia: LUKoil's Bold Expansion Plan
22/11/2006\|	Russia: LUKoil's Bold Expansion Plan
18/11/2006\|	Linking Russia's WTO Bid to Iran
18/11/2006\|	Linking Russia's WTO Bid to Iran
17/11/2006\|	Global Market Brief- What the Gazprom - ENI Deal Does -- and Does Not -- Mean
16/11/2006\|	Industry's New Stake in Kyoto
14/11/2006\|	India, Pakistan: Al Qaeda and the Airport Threat
13/11/2006\|	INDIA - The Abduction of a High-Tech Executive's Son
11/11/2006\|	CHINA - Blocking Investment to Promote Stability
11/11/2006\|	U.S., Russia: The Politics Behind the WTO Talks
11/11/2006\|	Colombia's Multifaceted Security Problem
08/11/2006\|	MEXICO - Jumping on the Oaxaca Bandwagon
07/11/2006\|	Mexico City Bombings: An Escalation in Tensions
07/11/2006\|	Global Market Brief
04/11/2006\|	AUSTRIA - The Kidnapping Plot Against a Crystal Heiress
04/11/2006\|	Iraq Without Bechtel
01/11/2006\|	Europe: The Taliban's Broadening Scope
31/10/2006\|	HONDURAS-Honduras' Operation Thunder: The Effort to Stem Rising Crime
31/10/2006\|	MEXICO - A Mexican Standoff Worsens
31/10/2006\|	BOLIVIA - BRAZIL: La Paz's Natural Gas Dilemma
28/10/2006\|	BRAZIL-Strength in Victory, Weakness in Office
28/10/2006\|	BANGLADESH - Conditions Conducive to a Coup?
24/10/2006\|	IRAQ - The Coming Change in U.S. Strategy
24/10/2006\|	IRAQ- Big Plans, Major Obstacles, for the Oil Sector
24/10/2006\|	Somalia's Islamists Court Mainstream Muslims
24/10/2006\|	SUDAN-Khartoum Moves Against Foreign Intervention in Darfur
21/10/2006\|	Japan's Nuclear Message for China
21/10/2006\|	U.S.: Al Qaeda and the U.S. Midterm Elections
18/10/2006\|	Time for Iran's Close-Up - Part 1
18/10/2006\|	Time for Iran's Close-Up - Part 2 - South Asia: Still Feeling the 'Washington Effect'
18/10/2006\|	The EU Scrambles for a Russia Policy
18/10/2006\|	Chemical Risk: Mass Storage and Transport as Weapons, Not Targets
18/10/2006\|	RUSSIA - Sunset for Shtokman?
18/10/2006\|	RUSSIA, BULGARIA, GREECE- The Pipe Dream Pipeline
14/10/2006\|	IRELAND -The Latest 'Tiger Kidnapping' Trend
14/10/2006\|	CHINA - Using Unions To Access Company Records
14/10/2006\|	PAKISTAN - Rockets, Coup Rumors and Musharraf
14/10/2006\|	RUSSIA - Americans as Targets of Ultranationalist Street Gangs
14/10/2006\|	RUSSIA -The Kremlin's Hands-On Energy Policy
14/10/2006\|	RUSSIA -The Kremlin Puts LUKoil Under Pressure
07/10/2006\|	North Korea: Beijing's Diminishing Power of Persuasion
05/10/2006\|	Nigeria: The Threat Against Bonny Island
05/10/2006\|	Kuwait: Moving to Become an Oil Market-Mover?
05/10/2006\|	Dirty Bombs: Weapons of Mass Disruption
29/09/2006\|	SOMALIA - Ethiopia's Islamist Fears
28/09/2006\|	IRAN, RUSIA - A Nuclear Marriage of Convenience
27/09/2006\|	MEXICO - Passing the Oaxacan Buck
27/09/2006\|	Hezbollah's Iranian Connection
27/09/2006\|	SOUTH KOREA - Rethinking its Military Future
24/09/2006\|	THAILAND - A Possible Respite in Southern Violence
23/09/2006\|	BOLIVIA - Military Bases in the Lowlands
23/09/2006\|	KENYA - Corruption as Catalyst for Crime
23/09/2006\|	The World Bank at a Crossroads
30/08/2006\|	SRI LANKA- Strategic Potential on Hold
30/08/2006\|	A Polite Meeting About Missiles
27/08/2006\|	EU: Energy Security and the Nuclear Genie
02/08/2006\|	SOMALIA - Islamists and Clan Politics
02/08/2006\|	CUBA - A New Castro Assumes the Old Power
30/07/2006\|	AFRICA - Toward a Three-Way Conflict in the Horn of Africa
30/07/2006\|	U.S., India: Hammering Out a Nuclear Deal
28/07/2006\|	Chavez's World Tour
28/07/2006\|	Perception and Reality in the Oil Market
23/07/2006\|	MEXICO - Acapulco as a Main Front in the Drug Wars
19/07/2006\|	IRAN - Using the Israeli-Hezbollah Conflict Advantageously
15/07/2006\|	The Economic Impact of an Israeli-Lebanese War
14/07/2006\|	Middle East Crisis: Backgrounder
06/07/2006\|	MEXICO - Facing Its Greatest Democratic Test
06/07/2006\|	BOLIVIA - A Highland Constitution and Lowland Discontent
06/07/2006\|	SLOVAKIA - An Unlikely Coalition
30/06/2006\|	Global Market Brief
30/06/2006\|	Global Market Brief
30/06/2006\|	Mexico's Economic Choices in the Upcoming Election
30/06/2006\|	Mexico's Economic Choices in the Upcoming Election
30/06/2006\|	Sri Lanka, India: The Tigers Try to Charm New Delhi
30/06/2006\|	Sri Lanka, India: The Tigers Try to Charm New Delhi
26/06/2006\|	China: Crisis and Implications
26/06/2006\|	China: Crisis and Implications
24/06/2006\|	UKRAINE-Timoshenko, the Turkmenbashi and a Dilemma for Gazprom
24/06/2006\|	UKRAINE-Timoshenko, the Turkmenbashi and a Dilemma for Gazprom
22/06/2006\|	NORTH KOREA - Another Bluff in the Korean Missile Game?
22/06/2006\|	NORTH KOREA - Another Bluff in the Korean Missile Game?
20/06/2006\|	ROBERT ZOELLICK - Washington Staffs for a New View of China
20/06/2006\|	ROBERT ZOELLICK - Washington Staffs for a New View of China
20/06/2006\|	NORTH KOREAN - The Logic of a North Korean Missile Test
20/06/2006\|	NORTH KOREAN - The Logic of a North Korean Missile Test
20/06/2006\|	MEXICO - Why the Upcoming Election Matters
20/06/2006\|	MEXICO - Why the Upcoming Election Matters
20/06/2006\|	WORLD CUP-The Potential -- and Reality -- of Violence at the World Cup
20/06/2006\|	WORLD CUP-The Potential -- and Reality -- of Violence at the World Cup
05/06/2006\|	Key Steps to Avoid Falling Victim to Crime
04/06/2006\|	Self-Protection: Acquiring -- and Practicing -- the Necessary Skills (Part III)
03/06/2006\|	Cosmetic Change in China's Economy
02/06/2006\|	Mexico: Of Soccer and Electoral Strategy
02/06/2006\|	Self-Protection: Analysis and Planning II
01/06/2006\|	Self-Protection: Assessing Threats and Vulnerabilities
01/06/2006\|	U.S. Perceptions of a Chinese Threat
31/05/2006\|	Bicycles: Another Lethal Weapon in the Militant Arsenal
29/05/2006\|	Peru, Colombia: Elections and Second Thoughts on Populism
28/05/2006\|	Kaibiles: The New Lethal Force in the Mexican Drug Wars
23/05/2006\|	The U.S. Immigration Debate's Fallout in Mexico
17/05/2006\|	EU, Latin America: Summit, Or Pique?
17/05/2006\|	Brazil: When Violence Reaches a Tipping Point
13/05/2006\|	Beheadings in Mexico: The Foreign Element in Mexico's Drug Wars
07/05/2006\|	Diplomatic Snubs and Sino-U.S. Relations
07/05/2006\|	Bolivia's Energy Nationalization: Opting for Short-Term Gains
06/05/2006\|	China, Russia, U.S.: Washington's Strategic Insults
06/05/2006\|	U.S.: CIA Director Porter Goss' Resignation
04/05/2006\|	No Relief at the Gas Pumps
02/05/2006\|	Bolivia: Nationalized Oil and Gas
02/05/2006\|	Bolivia and Leftward Movement in Latin America
30/04/2006\|	COLOMBIA- A Slaying Threatens the President's Re-Election
25/04/2006\|	Repsol in Bolivia: When Business Serves Foreign Policy
24/04/2006\|	The Shiite Schisms
24/04/2006\|	Al Qaeda's New Focus on Sudan
23/04/2006\|	Russia: Pipeline Monopolies Stymie Infrastructure Improvement
23/04/2006\|	Iraq: Jaafari Steps Aside -- Not Down
21/04/2006\|	Bush, Hu and the 'Accidental' Journalist
21/04/2006\|	The Shiite Schisms
21/04/2006\|	The Pakistan-Jihadist Connection
18/04/2006\|	PNA: Hamas' Message in the Tel Aviv Attack
18/04/2006\|	Russia: The Centralization Trend Continues
18/04/2006\|	Countdown to a Coup in Nepal?
18/04/2006\|	Vietnam: The Party Congress Tackles Corruption
17/04/2006\|	India, Venezuela: Caracas Diversifies its Oil Markets
13/04/2006\|	North Korea: Weighing the Benefits of the Nuclear Card
13/04/2006\|	Idealism, Realism and U.S. Foreign Policy
10/04/2006\|	The Saudi Militant Threat in Israel and the Palestinian Territories
08/04/2006\|	Political Instability in Europe's Core
06/04/2006\|	Ukraine: An Orange Reunion?
06/04/2006\|	Italy's Attraction for Islamist Militants
05/04/2006\|	Venezuela's Oil Dreams
30/03/2006\|	RUSSIA: WTO Accession Still Not a Done Deal -- From Any Point of View
28/03/2006\|	ITALY - Running the Electoral Numbers
28/03/2006\|	Thailand's Political Unrest: The Significance for Multinationals
27/03/2006\|	BRAZIL- Continuity at the Finance Ministry
24/03/2006\|	CHINA-Pumping an Iranian LNG Deal for Oil
24/03/2006\|	Residential Security - PDF
24/03/2006\|	CORRUPTION-Execution in China: Sending a Message to Big Business
24/03/2006\|	SPAIN- ETA's Cease-Fire and its Search for Viability
24/03/2006\|	GERMANY -The German Weapons - Smuggling Scandal: Opportunities for Merkel
24/03/2006\|	IRAN - Reading Between the Lines of Khamenei's Blessing
22/03/2006\|	The Unlikely Terrorist Threat Against U.S. Agriculture
22/03/2006\|	INDONESIA- Violent Protests: A Message to Multinationals?
20/02/2006\|	INDONESIA-Yudhoyono's Plan for Indonesia's Resurrection
20/02/2006\|	Nigeria - Same News, Different Network
18/02/2006\|	India: Hopes for Nuclear -- and Geopolitical -- Power
11/02/2006\|	India: King Abdullah Gets the Royal Treatment
11/02/2006\|	Drugs, Weapons and Violence: The U.S.-Mexican Border's Hot Commodities
11/02/2006\|	Mexico, U.S.: Election-Year Rhetoric on Both Sides of the Border
07/02/2006\|	China's Motive in Oil Deals with India
26/01/2006\|	The Bin Laden Tape and the Strike in Damadola
25/01/2006\|	Annual Forecast 2006: The Year of Great and Near-Great Powers -- Part II
22/01/2006\|	Annual Forecast 2006: The Year of Great and Near -Great Powers -- Part I
19/01/2006\|	EU: Austria's Presidential Problem
19/01/2006\|	Taiwan: Chen Risks China's Ire to Visit Gadhafi
14/01/2006\|	Thailand and the Possible Terrorist Threat to Tourists
14/01/2006\|	Travel Security: The Importance of Understanding the Risks
12/01/2006\|	Iran's latest nuclear provocation : the resumption of nuclear fuel
12/01/2006\|	Arms Market: Accident or careful planning?
06/01/2006\|	Russian gas: This is not all about Moscow -- Germany has a stake as well
20/12/2005\|	Evo Morales won Bolivia's presidential elections Dec.18: Morales Signals Left, Turns Right
01/08/2005\|	Argentina: Kirchner's Populism and a Darkening Economic Future
06/01/2005\|	Iran - Rice: 'If negotiations have been exhausted, we have the votes'

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Peoples of the Earth | Martin E. Andersen

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