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  Significance: No group has so far claimed any responsibility for the blast which is the most serious attack against the country’s Western-backed Transitional Federal Government (TFG) since it was installed into power some three years ago.

04/12/2009 | Four Ministers Killed in Suicide Attack in Somalia

Global Insight Staff

At least 19 people, including four cabinet ministers, were killed in this latest deadly suicide bombing in the Somali capital yesterday—an attack almost certainly carried out by anti-government insurgents.

 

IHS Global Insight Perspective

Implications: The al-Qaida-affiliated local insurgent movement, al-Shabaab, has denied any involvement in the attack, but despite its plea of innocence, it remains suspect.

Outlook: The international community has been quick to condemn the attack, but if the words are not followed by actionable support such as more financial aid to the TFG or the deployment of more international peacekeepers, it is not completely inconceivable that similar attacks to the one that took place could take place, perhaps with even deadlier consequences.

At least 19 people were killed and 60 more injured yesterday when a suicide bomber targeted a graduation ceremony for medical students at the local Banadir University which was being held at a Mogadishu hotel. According to reports, the casualties occurred when the lone bomber, believed to have been dressed as a woman, targeted the ceremony which was being held at the Shamo Hotel in northern Mogadishu. The event was being attended by the students, their families and invited guests, including government ministers and representatives from the media.

Health Minister Qamar Aden Ali and Higher Education Minister Ibrahim Hassan Addow were killed instantly following the blast, with Education Minister Mohamed Abdullahi Waayel and his counterpart at Sports and Youth Saleman Olad Robleh dying later from their injuries. Also killed are two prominent journalists, Mahamed Amin Adan Abdulle, who worked for the local Shabele Radio and Hassan Ali Hassan, a local director for the Dubai-based Al-Arabiya television station.

No group has so far claimed any responsibility for the blast which is the most serious attack against the TFG since it was installed into power some three years ago. The local Islamist group, al-Shabaab—which has been waging a deadly insurgency against the TFG and is believed to be behind the carnage, has denied any responsibility. In a statement issued this morning, Sheikh Ali Mohamud Rage a spokesman for the group said: "We have heard about that tragedy from the media. On behalf of the Shabaab, we are not in anyway involved in that incident". Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys, leader of Hizbul Islam – another insurgent movement committed to ousting the TFG from power, has meanwhile spoken out against the attack, while denying any involvement: "I condemn this attack, which is the work of the enemy, and I send my condolences to the family members of those who were killed." "This was the work of enemies who want to destroy Somalia's intelligentsia and create a hostile atmosphere in which Somalis cannot reconcile," Aweys told Agence France-Presse (AFP).

Outlook and Implications

Despite its denial, many suspect the attack to be the work of al-Shabaab. Listed by a number of Western governments as a terrorist movement, al-Shabaab has been waging an increasingly violent insurgency to topple the TFG in recent months, with a view to replacing it with one that will govern the country under strict Islamic (Shari’a) law. The group, which Somalia's interim government and Western intelligence agencies have claimed to have links with al-Qaida in the past, in recent months appears to have deepened its links with the international terror network, including its increasing use of foreign jihadists and suicide bombers, which was previously unheard of during the country’s near-two decade civil war. In the past year alone the group has been blamed for a number of suicide attacks, in which TFG figures or security officials have been targeted, including the September killings of 17 Burundian and Ugandan soldiers serving with the African Union (AU) peacekeeping mission in the country—known as AMISOM.

The international community, which has continued to support the TFG as the only viable option that can possibly lead the Horn of Africa to a peaceful existence, have been united in their condemnation, with the United Nations (UN), the European Union (EU), the Arab League, the U.S. government, and the regional Inter-Governmental Authority on Development (IGAD), all issuing statements against the attack and renewing their support for the interim government. However, with the international community—save for a handful countries such as Burundi and Uganda—failing to backup their support to the TFG with real action in the form of financial commitment or providing peacekeepers, it is not completely inconceivable that similar attacks to the one that took place could take place, perhaps with an even deadlier consequences.

Global Insight (Reino Unido)

 


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