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02/05/2018 | Economía y Finanzas
Shifting Energy Import Patterns Enhance China’s Clout In Middle East – Analysis
Subtle shifts in Chinese energy imports suggest that China may be able to exert influence in the Middle East in alternative and subtle ways that do not involve military or overt economic pressure.
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30/04/2018 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Saudi Engagement In Iraq: The Exception That Confirms The Rule? – Analysis
Stepped up Saudi efforts to forge close diplomatic, economic and cultural ties to Shia-majority Iraq in a bid to counter significant Iranian influence in the country appear to be paying off.
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22/04/2018 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
The Saudi Export Of Ultra-Conservatism In The Era Of MbS – Analysis
There has long been debate about the longevity of the Saudi ruling family. One major reason for doubts about the Al Sauds’ viability was the Faustian bargain they made with the Wahhabis, proponents of a puritan, intolerant, discriminatory, anti-pluralistic interpretation of Islam.
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16/03/2018 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Analysis - Countering Extremism: Jihadist Ideology Reigns Supreme
The sad truth is that governments, law enforcement, security forces, intellectuals and journalists do not have an ideological response to political violence’s latest reiteration, jihadism. Moreover, the struggle against political violence, is not one that is predominantly ideological.
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07/02/2018 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Asia’s Dark Underbelly: Conflicts Threaten Long-Term Stability And Development – Analysis
A host of conflicts, stretching across the Asian landmass from the Middle East to Southeast Asia and northwest China, are likely to spark violence, complicate economic development, and dash hopes for sustainable stability.
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06/01/2018 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Covert Wars: Iran And Saudi Arabia Revisit Their Strategies – Analysis
Expressions of support by US President Donald J. Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu have provided the grist for Iranian claims that anti-government protests were instigated by foreign powers. The largely baseless assertions offer nonetheless insight into the very different strategies adopted by Iran and Saudi Arabia in their vicious struggle for regional dominance.
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02/01/2018 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Is Peace in Yemen Possible?
Even though the wars in Syria and Iraq are dying down, Saudi Arabia will have to learn to share the Middle East with Iran.
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10/12/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Tackling Sunni Muslim Ultra-Conservatism: A Pakistani-US Collision In The Making – Analysis
A recent government surrender to militant demands for stricter adherence to Islam mediated by the military coupled with the release from house arrest of a militant leader designated by the United Nations and the United States as a terrorist sets the stage for a confrontation between Pakistan and the Trump administration.
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05/12/2017 | Economía y Finanzas
Global HotSpots, Global Pairings: Global HotSpots, Global Pairings Previous Transition in the Middle East: Transition to What?
In the Middle East and North Africa, the transition toward equitable economic development and transparent and accountable rule of law will take a very long time.
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03/12/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Egypt: President Al-Sisi Steps Up Repression To Cover Policy Failure – Analysis
Egyptian general-turned-president Abdul Fattah Al-Sisi would likely be the first to admit that an iron fist is no guarantee for retaining power. Not because of the fate of the country’s longest ruling autocrat, Hosni Mubarak, who was toppled in 2011 by a popular revolt.
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26/11/2017 | Transparencia
Tackling Corruption: Why Saudi Prince Mohammed’s Approach Raises Questions – Analysis
Leave aside for a moment questions of due process. Analysis of Saudi Arabia’s three largest corporate failures explains why Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s recent moves look more like a power and asset grab than a credible effort to eradicate corruption.
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05/09/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
The Gulf Crisis: Fighting It Out Down And Dirty -Analysis
In the three-month old Gulf crisis, nothing is too expensive or too down and dirty when it comes to buying influence, garnering soft power, and trying to win hearts and minds.
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19/08/2017 | En Parrilla
The Two Faces of the Gulf Crisis: Inching Toward Social Change
The two-month old crisis pitting Qatar against an alliance led by the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia is proving to be a double-edged sword.
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18/08/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
The Two Faces of the Gulf Crisis: Arms Race
The two-month old crisis pitting Qatar against an alliance led by the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia is proving to be a double-edged sword.
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31/07/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
The Gulf Crisis: A Lesson In Reputation Management – Analysis
Lurking below the surface of the Gulf crisis, are rival, yet troubled, attempts by Qatar and its detractors to use sports to boost soft power and/or launder tarnished images of their autocracies.
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31/07/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Strife In Jerusalem: Fears Of Popular Revolts Bring Israel And Arabs Together – Analysis
A web of formal and informal Israeli-Arab relations and common fears of renewed popular uprisings that could threaten regimes and benefit Islamist groups like the Muslim Brotherhood facilitated Israel’s backing down in the crisis over Jerusalem’s Temple Mount or Haram al Sharif, home to Islam’s third most holy shrine, the Al Aqsa mosque.
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24/07/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
US Moves Against Iran Raise Specter Of Wider Regional Conflict – Analysis
US President Donald J. Trump. in a step that could embolden Saudi Arabia to move ahead with plans to destabilize Iran, has instructed White House aides to give him the arguments for withholding certification in October that Iran has complied with its nuclear agreement with world powers.
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15/07/2017 | Frente Externo
The Gulf Crisis: A Coming Out Of Small States – Analysis
Buried in the Gulf crisis are two major developments likely to shape future international relations as well as power dynamics in the Middle East: the coming out of small states capable of punching far above their weight with Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, a driver of the crisis, battling it out; and a carefully managed rivalry between the UAE and Saudi Arabia that has weakened the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and aggravated suffering in war-wracked Yemen.
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03/07/2017 | Frente Externo
Global HotSpots, Global Pairings - Saudi Arabia Vs. the World
Calls for Qatar boycott fuel fears in Muslim Asia.
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26/06/2017 | Frente Externo
Crisis Outs Future Of Saudi Reforms And GCC In Doubt – Analysis
A three-week-old, Saudi-UAE-led diplomatic and economic boycott of Qatar threatens to complicate newly promoted Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s reform plans and undermine the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), the Middle East’s most successful regional association.
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27/05/2017 | Frente Externo
Policy Differences Emerge Among Gulf States Days After Wooing President Trump – Analysis
Cracks have appeared in a Saudi-led, US-backed anti-terrorist political and military alliance days after US President Donald J. Trump ended a historic visit to Saudi Arabia. The cracks stem from Qatar’s long-standing fundamental policy differences with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates about Iran and the role of political Islam.
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26/05/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
The Muslim World’s Struggle to Counter Militancy
The real downsides of Donald Trump’s choice in Saudi Arabia to prioritize commerce at the expense of principle.
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09/04/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
What Trump’s Syria Bombing Really Means
With one military action, the new U.S. President has managed to thoroughly confound his fiercest supporters and critics.
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27/03/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Defeating The Islamic State: A War Mired In Contradictions – Analysis
US President Donald J. Trump’s vow to defeat what he terms radical Islamic terrorism forces the United States to manoeuvre the Middle East and North Africa’s murky world of ever shifting alliances and labyrinth of power struggles within power struggles.
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22/03/2017 | Sociedad
Protest In Iran: The Murky Geopolitics Of Soccer – Analysis
Thousands of Iranian Arabs last week attended an AFC Champions League soccer match between Esteghlal Ahvaz FC and Qatar’s Lekhwiya SC dressed in traditional Arab garb in protest what an opposition news website dubbed were government efforts to suppress their identity.
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12/03/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Iran’s Surprisingly Strong Geopolitical Hand
While the short-term outlook still looks uncertain for Iran, the larger fundamentals hugely favor it.
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11/03/2017 | En Parrilla
Walking a Tightrope: China Maneuvers Between Saudi Arabia and Iran
The Saudi royals hope to turn China away from Iran during a state visit.
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28/02/2017 | En Parrilla
The China Dream Hits Reality
Asian ports: Pitfalls of China’s One Belt, One Road Initiative.
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26/02/2017 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Asian Ports: Pitfalls Of China’s One Belt, One Road Initiative – Analysis
Troubled ports in Pakistan and Sri Lanka, envisioned as part of China’s string of pearls linking the Eurasian heartland to the Middle Kingdom, exemplify political pitfalls that threaten Beijing’s ambitious One Belt, One Road project.
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11/02/2017 | Frente Externo
Trump Pressured To Confront Pakistan On Support For Militants – Analysis
Pressure on the Trump administration is mounting to adopt a tougher position towards Pakistani support of militants in Afghanistan as well as Pakistan itself. The pressure comes from a chorus of voices that include the US military, members of Congress from both sides of the aisle, and influential Washington-based think tanks.
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18/01/2017 | Frente Externo
Analysis - Qatari Backtracking On Labor Rights And Cooperation With Russia Reflects New World Order
A Qatari decision to backtrack on minimal improvements of the terms of employment of migrant workers, who account for a majority of the Gulf state’s population, and a Qatari investment in Russian oil company Rosneft PJSC, symbolize the emergence of a new global power structure with the rise of populists in the United States and Europe, and Russia projecting itself as a key player on the world stage.
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12/01/2017 | Frente Externo
2017: Saudi Arabia’s Annus Horribilis?
Think that 2016 was a tough year for Saudi Arabia? Wait till you see 2017
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28/08/2016 | En Parrilla
Creating Frankenstein: The Saudi Export of Ultra-Conservatism
The monster that Saudi Arabia created may come to haunt itself — at home.
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21/08/2016 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
The ¨Boytrap¨: When the Islamic State Goes to Play Soccer
With mosques under surveillance, IS turns to soccer for recruitment.
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14/08/2016 | High Tech
Global HotSpots Previous Who Drives Political Violence in Pakistan?
Pakistan’s generals like to blame their country’s cycle of political violence on foreign forces. In reality, it is largely home-made.
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03/02/2011 | En Parrilla
Thinking the Unthinkable: Is the Gulf Next?
It's time to think the unthinkable: Saudi Arabia and other oil-rich Persian Gulf states may be next in line to confront widespread popular discontent.
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26/10/2010 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
U.S. Counterterrorism Strategy Boomerangs in Yemen, Somalia
U.S. and European efforts to stabilize Yemen and Somalia are boomeranging. Rather than weakening militants in both countries, Western counterterrorism and counterinsurgency strategies are fueling radicalism and turning wide swathes of the population against the West.
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13/07/2010 | Frente Externo
UAE Toughens Stance over Iran's Nuclear Ambitions
Tension between Iran and the United Arab Emirates is rising after the UAE became the first Gulf state to publicly signal endorsement of military force to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear power, should peaceful efforts to resolve the standoff over Tehran's nuclear program fail. The UAE also restricted Iran's use of Dubai to imports goods sanctioned by the United Nations and the United States.
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06/07/2010 | Frente Externo
Obama, Netanyahu Set Stage for Direct Mideast Peace Talks
To push peace talks with the Palestinians forward, Obama needs Netanyahu to agree to an extension of Israel's declared 10-month freeze of settlement activity in the West Bank as well as of the undeclared halt in East Jerusalem.
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