03/05/2016 | Frente Externo
Trump’s Foreign Policy Revealed, Sort Of
The obvious takeaway from our first glimpse of Donald Trump’s foreign policy is that it’s singularly focused on the domestic audience. There’s no real posturing here or signalling intentions for foreign governments; it’s a speech that continues to play on many of the themes that have made the Trump campaign such a surprising success in the GOP presidential field.
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30/04/2016 | Frente Externo
US - Trump’s Foreign Policy Revealed, Sort Of
The obvious takeaway from our first glimpse of Donald Trump’s foreign policy is that it’s singularly focused on the domestic audience. There’s no real posturing here or signalling intentions for foreign governments; it’s a speech that continues to play on many of the themes that have made the Trump campaign such a surprising success in the GOP presidential field.
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21/09/2015 | Frente Externo
Japan’s Abe Puts Pacifism on Notice
Against a backdrop of protests on the streets of Tokyo and in the embassies of various East Asian nations, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has taken a big step towards Japan’s “normalization” in international relations. It took hundreds of hours of debate and even a few scuffles on the floor of parliament, but his landmark security law has passed and Japanese forces can now be deployed overseas for the first time since World War II.
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11/08/2015 | Frente Externo
Canada Election 2015: Foreign Policy Is a Four-Letter Word
Nearly a week into the Canadian election campaign and there’s very little to go on in terms of the foreign policy platforms of opposition parties. “Keep it vague,” seems to be the overriding dictum so far, as if the parties fear that they stand to lose if they reveal too much to the electorate.
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17/06/2014 | Medio Ambiente
Civil War Comes to Iraq
Warnings of a deteriorating political and security situation in Iraq were plentiful over the past year, driven by a civilian death count climbing towards 2008 levels and militant groups gaining an urban foothold in the cities of Fallujah and Ramadi. Even the fall of Mosul, as spontaneous as it may seem, had a build-up of several days as militants accumulated in areas surrounding the city.
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17/06/2014 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Can Russia Go It Alone in an Interconnected World?
The recent standoff between Russia and the West must feel like an unwelcome blast from the past for European and US leaders, many of whom believed that major state conflict had gone the way of the VCR. It was after all a mere two years ago that former US presidential candidate Mitt Romney was getting laughed off the stage for suggesting that Russia was the United States’ biggest geopolitical foe.
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27/05/2014 | Economia y Finanzas
How Long Can the “Modi Bump” in Indian Markets Last?
Call it the “Modi bump,” “Modinomics,” or even the “Modi miracle,” it doesn’t really matter – a bullish surge by any other name is just as sweet for investors in Indian equities.
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08/04/2014 | Frente Externo
Venezuela Protests: Background and Potential Fallout
Venezuela has been in the grip of nationwide protests since mid-February, when students in the states of Tachira and Merida took to the streets demanding increased security after a student was almost raped on her university campus. Since then the protests have expanded in size, spreading to the capital Caracas and beyond. Their scope has also grown, as the movement is no longer just about law and order, but a myriad of other issues reflecting popular wariness towards the policies of the late Hugo Chavez and his successor Nicolas Maduro.
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27/01/2014 | Frente Externo
Peace Is the Only Answer in China-Japan Island Dispute
The East China Sea territorial dispute between China and Japan figured prominently in various geopolitical risk forecasts for 2014, and with good reason. Neither side shows any sign of standing down, and with every new military deployment near the contested area comes an increased risk of a small-scale military incident spiraling into war.
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15/01/2014 | Frente Externo
Forecast 2014: North America
Mexico to Turn on the Pumps
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30/12/2013 | Frente Externo
Forecast 2014: Northeast Asia
An Opaque North Korean Power Struggle
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31/08/2013 | Frente Externo
Arctic News Roundup
An April report by the Rideau Institute and the Canadian Center for Policy Alternatives has argued that the Canadian Arctic/Offshore Patrol Ships (AOPS) program is too expensive and ultimately unsuited for the dual role of policing open waters and navigating passages with light amounts of ice.
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11/08/2013 | Economia y Finanzas
Asia - China Moves to Pop the Debt Bubble
There’s a new economic catchphrase making its rounds in pundit circles around the world: “Likonomics,” or the economic policies of China’s new premier, Li Keqiang. To the casual observer, Likonomics might seem somewhat like Abenomics in reverse, as its goal is to recalibrate an overheating economy rather than kick-start an economy that has languished for a decade.
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27/05/2013 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Taiwan’s Recycling Revolution: Lessons for Canada
Taiwan and Canada, two countries on opposite sides of the planet: one has reduced its per-capita daily waste by 57.5% from 1998 to 2010, a period which coincided with 47% GDP growth, and the other continues to churn out more waste per capita than any of its global peers. How they got to be on opposing sides of the problem/solution line merits some consideration, especially if Canadian cities are ever going to get serious about waste reduction.
Taiwan and Canada, two countries on opposite sides of the planet: one has reduced its per-capita daily waste by 57.5% from 1998 to 2010, a period which coincided with 47% GDP growth, and the other continues to churn out more waste per capita than any of its global peers. How they got to be on opposing sides of the problem/solution line merits some consideration, especially if Canadian cities are ever going to get serious about waste reduction.
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02/04/2013 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
The Opening Act of a Guerilla War in Mali
The apparent interventionist success story of a joint French-Malian military force driving Islamists out of northern Mali was suddenly interrupted this week by a suicide bombing in Timbuktu. The bombing was the first volley in what turned out to be an all-out attack on the city by Islamists, and after several hours of intense street fighting, Malian forces had to call in French troops and air support to help them drive the rebels back into the surrounding desert.
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25/02/2013 | Economia y Finanzas
On the Brink of a Canada-EU Trade Deal: A Recap
Now that the Canada-EU free trade agreement (the Comprehensive Economic and Trade agreement, or CETA) is entering the final phase of negotiations, the Harper government finds itself on the brink of accomplishing one of its most important foreign policy goals: the diversification of Canada’s trade portfolio. In this article, the GPM’s Zachary Fillingham examines the remaining hurdles and what a deal would mean for both economies.
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10/01/2013 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Canada and the Global Water Crisis: A GPM Interview
In this exclusive interview with the Geopoliticalmonitor, FLOW Program Manager Nancy Goucher provides an overview of the pressing water issues facing Canada and the wider world, such as aquifer depletion, farming pressures, mass migration, and climate change.
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09/07/2012 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Africa - Rwanda and Border Rebels: Geopolitical Considerations
Fresh off the publication of a damning UN report that implicates the government of Rwanda in assisting M23 rebels in the eastern DRC, Western observers are lining up to rain criticism down on Kigali. But what would motivate this diminutive yet formidable African country to risk its donor lifeline by extending support to a group led by an ICC-indicted war criminal? The answer is as simple as it is predictable: state security.
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26/05/2012 | Frente Externo
Indonesia - Middle Eastern Role Model?
Indonesia has been held up as a role model that Middle Eastern countries could learn some lessons from when it comes to reconciling democracy with Islam. But is there any truth to this claim, or is it merely a case of wishful thinking on the part of Western leaders, asks Zachary Fillingham of Geopoliticalmonitor.com.
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23/05/2012 | Economia y Finanzas
Europe - Opinion: Austerity, Growth, and the Branding of European Politics
Francois Hollande wants growth, Angela Merkel wants austerity. How has this simple contradiction managed to wreak havoc on global markets, and more importantly: is there any substantive difference between the two positions, asks Zachary Fillingham of Geopoliticalmonitor.com.
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16/08/2011 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Libya Endgame
With the rebel net tightening around a besieged Tripoli, it won’t be long before the NATO-rebel campaign to oust Colonel Gaddafi comes to a close. Now, the next battle for Libya can begin.
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04/07/2011 | Frente Externo
China at the End of History
Peaceful Rise, containment, encirclement, the ‘China Threat’ theory- though the times change the language stays the same. Experts are asking the same questions they were thirty years ago about China’s rise and the impact it will have on international society. It’s high time we throw away the rulebook of historical analogies and accept that this scenario is something completely different.
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04/07/2011 | Frente Externo
China at the End of History
Peaceful Rise, containment, encirclement, the ‘China Threat’ theory- though the times change the language stays the same. Experts are asking the same questions they were thirty years ago about China’s rise and the impact it will have on international society. It’s high time we throw away the rulebook of historical analogies and accept that this scenario is something completely different.
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01/07/2011 | Frente Externo
China: Friend or Foe? (Part One)
Peaceful Rise, containment, encirclement, the ‘China Threat’ theory- though the times change the language stays the same. Experts are asking the same questions they were thirty years ago about China’s rise and the impact it will have on international society.
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01/07/2011 | Frente Externo
China: Friend or Foe? (Part One)
Peaceful Rise, containment, encirclement, the ‘China Threat’ theory- though the times change the language stays the same. Experts are asking the same questions they were thirty years ago about China’s rise and the impact it will have on international society.
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21/06/2011 | En Parrilla
Taliban Talks? Think Again
It seems that Afghan and NATO authorities are once more seeking a dialogue with the Taliban- even after last year’s debacle of being fooled by a ‘very clever’ Pakistani shopkeeper pretending to be a Taliban official. Though the situation on the ground has changed, the question remains the same: does the Taliban have anything to gain from entering into talks?
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21/06/2011 | En Parrilla
Taliban Talks? Think Again
It seems that Afghan and NATO authorities are once more seeking a dialogue with the Taliban- even after last year’s debacle of being fooled by a ‘very clever’ Pakistani shopkeeper pretending to be a Taliban official. Though the situation on the ground has changed, the question remains the same: does the Taliban have anything to gain from entering into talks?
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19/05/2011 | Economia y Finanzas
The Fall of Strauss-Kahn: Europe Loses its Savior?
The arrest and subsequent resignation of former IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn won’t just impact the Euro sovereign debt crisis, but the wider international monetary order as well.
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19/05/2011 | Economia y Finanzas
The Fall of Strauss-Kahn: Europe Loses its Savior?
The arrest and subsequent resignation of former IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn won’t just impact the Euro sovereign debt crisis, but the wider international monetary order as well.
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11/04/2011 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
China’s Hidden Crackdown Comes to Light
The arrest of prominent Chinese artist Ai Weiwei has revealed an extensive crackdown against inernal dissidents by the authorities in Beijing. It seems that there are serious concerns within the Chinese government that the “Arab Spring” could spill into Asia.
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03/03/2011 | En Profundidad
OPINION: Revolutionary Democracy
FORECAST: Though the list of countries being swept up in a wave of popular uprisings is long and getting longer, pro-democracy activists the world over would be wise to hold off their own celebrations. The wave of ‘people power’ spreading through the Middle East and Africa could just as easily end up hindering international democracy as it could helping it.
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17/11/2010 | Frente Externo
UN reform a critical issue in the next decade
Reforming the UN Security Council stands as a key barometer for assessing the international system`s transition from a post-Cold War US hegemony to a more multipolar distribution of economic and military power.
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06/10/2010 | Economia y Finanzas
Currency war or business as usual?
In a rare display of bipartisan spirit, the bill easily passed through the House of Representatives thanks to the support of 99 Republicans. If it makes it past the Senate and is signed into law, the bill will grant President Obama the power to unilaterally impose tariffs on any Chinese imports into the United States.
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19/09/2010 | Economia y Finanzas
US criticism of Chinese monetary policy
The US Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithner, says China's currency is significantly undervalued.
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18/09/2010 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Assassination of Imran Farooq
Pakistan's largest city has come to a near standstill following the killing in London of an exiled leader of the powerful Muttahida Qaumi Movement.
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16/09/2010 | Frente Externo
Analysis: Tea Party rising
The conservative Tea Party movement has made substantial gains in the primaries leading up to November’s mid-term elections. But will it end up costing the Republican Party in the long run?.
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29/07/2010 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Africa - AMISOM takes aim at al-Shabab
Al-Shabab’s motivation for the Kampala attacks was likely two-fold: they allowed the group to prove its operational capacity by conducting attacks outside Somalia’s borders and they also allowed an opportunity for al-Shabab to make a grab at populist legitimacy.
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09/06/2010 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Western Military Power to Wane
The sovereign debt crisis in Europe, and soon America, will exert tremendous pressure on national defense budgets, resulting in a re-alignment of global military power from West to East.
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